Prediction-market trading and forecasting competitions our members have entered or hosted, and public ones you can enter now. Every one is scored against real outcomes.
Entries by our members. Results are added once the organizer publishes final standings.
AI systems that explain how stocks react to earnings announcements. As each company reports, the agent receives the earnings-call summary, submits a prediction automatically, and is scored against the actual market reaction on a public leaderboard.
A student trading competition on the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. Entrants trade Senate, House and governor contracts on SIG's prediction-market platform with simulated currency, and standings are final once every market settles on the real results.
Public prediction-market and forecasting competitions running now, all free to enter. We list them for members; we don't run them.
Forecast company earnings, revenue and guidance and broader market moves this quarter. Join by Dec 21 to be eligible for prizes.
Forecast 14 year-end values from FRED data, including the 10-year Treasury yield, WTI oil, the high-yield spread and the bitcoin price.
Forecast central-bank decisions and rates, from the Fed's projections to the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan and mortgage rates.
Forecast four or five new topical questions every week, competing against the community and a guest data journalist.
Link NFL Combine player-tracking data to regular-season performance in a written analysis, with a separate track for all-undergraduate teams.
Build an AI bot that forecasts hundreds of real-world questions through the Metaculus API on its own, with no human in the loop.
Put a probability on dozens of NFL game questions before kickoff each week and get ranked on weekly accuracy. No betting involved.
Forecast how fast businesses adopt AI, Big Tech headcount, NVIDIA's revenue and related markets.
Forecast season-long questions, from NFL season leaders to the first pick of the 2027 draft and college conference champions.
Submit weekly probabilistic forecasts of flu hospital admissions, nationally and by state, alongside academic, industry and government teams.
Put probabilities on Premier League results and match stats every matchweek and get ranked on weekly accuracy. No betting involved.
Forecast the early 2028 presidential race, starting with who announces a run and when.
Forecast policy, the courts, the economy and the 2028 field under the second Trump administration, with one prize phase closing in January 2027 and one in 2029.
Submit your AI agent's probabilities on about 100 live Kalshi and Polymarket questions each week, ranked by Brier score with the market price shown for reference.
Run an LLM forecasting system on 500 questions every two weeks and get ranked on a public benchmark leaderboard.
Submit AI-driven probabilistic forecasts of weekly global temperature, precipitation and sea-level pressure several weeks out, scored on public leaderboards in 13-week periods.
Firms and venues that want to host a prediction-market competition at Illinois: we bring the participants.