Prediction@Illinois Fall 2026 · Applications open Apply
Market · Elections

Elections & Politics

Polls against prices through the 2026 midterms — margins, turnout, and who calls it first. The oldest prediction-market question, and this semester it's live.

Resolves from Certified results, AP calls
Live

On the board now

The most-traded elections events on Polymarket at page load. Research material, not a recommendation.

No elections events among the most-traded markets right now.
Competitions

Where to compete

Competitions our members have entered, and public ones open now. All competitions →

Susquehanna International GroupOct 1 – Nov 4, 2026

Susquehanna Predictions Cup — Midterm Elections Tournament

A student trading competition on the 2026 U.S. midterm elections. Entrants trade Senate, House and governor contracts on SIG's prediction-market platform with simulated currency, and standings are final once every market settles on the real results.

Completed
Open questions

Questions we work on

Each becomes a semester project for a small team, with a written result at the end.

Q1Do market prices beat the polling average 30 days out from a House race?
Q2How fast do prices move on a poll release versus on a news event?
Q3Where do resolution disputes in political contracts come from?

Join the elections track

Rolling admissions for Fall 2026. All majors, no experience required.

Apply for Fall 2026